Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis

Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis
定價:595
NT $ 470
  • 作者:JamesRickards
  • 出版社:Penguin Group USA
  • 出版日期:2012-08-28
  • 語言:英文
  • ISBN10:1591845564
  • ISBN13:9781591845560
  • 裝訂:平裝 / 12.7 x 20.3 x 2.5 cm / 普通級
 

內容簡介

  全球性金融遊戲即將再次失控,置身其中的各路玩家該如何脫困?
  2008金融海嘯,2009聯準會提出「量化寬鬆」大量印製美鈔,
  造成中國通膨攀升、埃及糧價上漲、巴西股市泡沫,
  諸國各顯神通以「出口補貼、進口關稅、資本管制」實行反擊,
  貨幣戰爭迅速擴大,競逐資源下,惡意侵略正悄然展開!

  這場貨幣戰爭導致的國際金融結局為何?
  瑞卡茲提出四種可能局面:
  出現多重準備貨幣、強化特別提款權功能
  重建金本位匯兌體制、金融局面一團混亂

  我們無法準確預知真正結果,但可斷言,美元在這場貨幣戰爭中必然受到挑戰,美元長期地位將受到聯準會量化寬鬆政策影響,岌岌可危。

  瑞卡茲強調「黃金」的角色。暗示「以黃金為擔保的新全球貨幣」應該是比較好的解決方案。不過,金融崩潰也可能發生。

  世界經濟領導人,不可輕忽貨幣戰爭的後果,
  而我們升斗小民,也應該有妥善因應的準備。

  別以為您踩在堅實的土地上,高枕無憂,
  瑞卡茲揭露國家安全與國際金融市場之間危機四伏的交互關係。

  瑞卡茲有系統地介紹金本位制時代貨幣的角色,以及他所設定歷史上的三次貨幣戰爭:第一次貨幣戰爭(發生於兩次世界大戰期間),讓我們了解過去歷史課本所看不到的金融細節與關鍵;第二次貨幣戰爭則說明二次大戰後,精心安排國際貨幣兌換機制的崩潰與調整過程;至於第三次貨幣戰爭則更說明2008年金融海嘯後,美國、歐盟與中國大陸三者間展開如火如荼的貨幣競爭,以及20國集團(G20)面對危機可能的因應對策。第三次貨幣戰爭屬於「進行式」,讓讀者更好奇進行中的貨幣戰爭對我們生活可能的影響。作者對美國財政部在海嘯期間的作為,以及聯準會上兆美元的量化寬鬆政策都持保留態度,因為縱使美國在通膨與外匯市場贏得一時的勝利,最後卻可能輸掉整場貨幣的戰爭。

  In 1971, President Nixon imposed national price controls and took the United States off the gold standard, an extreme measure intended to end an ongoing currency war that had destroyed faith in the U.S. dollar. Today we are engaged in a new currency war, and this time the consequences will be far worse than those that confronted Nixon.

  Currency wars are one of the most destructive and feared outcomes in international economics. At best, they offer the sorry spectacle of countries' stealing growth from their trading partners. At worst, they degenerate into sequential bouts of inflation, recession, retaliation, and sometimes actual violence. Left unchecked, the next currency war could lead to a crisis worse than the panic of 2008.

  Currency wars have happened before-twice in the last century alone-and they always end badly. Time and again, paper currencies have collapsed, assets have been frozen, gold has been confiscated, and capital controls have been imposed. And the next crash is overdue. Recent headlines about the debasement of the dollar, bailouts in Greece and Ireland, and Chinese currency manipulation are all indicators of the growing conflict.

  As James Rickards argues in Currency Wars, this is more than just a concern for economists and investors. The United States is facing serious threats to its national security, from clandestine gold purchases by China to the hidden agendas of sovereign wealth funds. Greater than any single threat is the very real danger of the collapse of the dollar itself.

  Baffling to many observers is the rank failure of economists to foresee or prevent the economic catastrophes of recent years. Not only have their theories failed to prevent calamity, they are making the currency wars worse. The U. S. Federal Reserve has engaged in the greatest gamble in the history of finance, a sustained effort to stimulate the economy by printing money on a trillion-dollar scale. Its solutions present hidden new dangers while resolving none of the current dilemmas.

  While the outcome of the new currency war is not yet certain, some version of the worst-case scenario is almost inevitable if U.S. and world economic leaders fail to learn from the mistakes of their predecessors. Rickards untangles the web of failed paradigms, wishful thinking, and arrogance driving current public policy and points the way toward a more informed and effective course of action.
 

作者介紹

作者簡介

詹姆斯.瑞卡茲(James Rickards)


  律師、投資銀行家兼風險經理人,在華爾街工作超過30年。受聘美國國防部、情報界,為主要避險基金業者提供全球金融顧問,曾協助策劃五角大廈歷來首度舉行的金融戰爭演習。

  瑞卡茲經常接受世界知名財經頻道CNBC、有線電視新聞網CNN、福斯(Fox)、C-SPAN電視頻道、彭博電視(Bloomberg TV),和國家公共廣播電台(NPR)採訪。

  目前任教於在西北大學和高等國際研究院。

  James Rickards is a counselor, investment banker, and risk manager with over thirty years' experience in capital markets. He advises the Department of Defense, the U.S. intelligence community, and major hedge funds on global finance, and served as a facilitator of the first ever financial war games conducted by the Pentagon. A frequent guest on CNBC, CNN, Fox, C-SPAN, Bloomberg TV, and NPR, Rickards also lectures at Northwestern University and at the School of Advanced International Studies.
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